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Headlines

Fitch Downgrades Five Bulgarian Banks and Petrol

Fitch Downgrades Bulgaria's Ratings

Unemployment Down to 6.42%

Value Daily Chng YTD Chng
SOFIX 467.83 -0.89% -73.54%
BG 40 142.77 1.57% -72.44%
BG REIT 53.45 -0.17% -48.23%
BGTR 30 354.72 0.00% -67.68%

 

Shares Turnover (BGN thnds) 1 365.98
Bonds Turnover (BGN thnds) 947.37
market Capitalisation (BGN mln) 13 196.81
market Capitalisation/GDP 21%

 

Top Gainers Ticker Change
Oil & Gas Explor. & Prod. 4O1 + 16.50%
FairPlay Properties REIT 6F3 + 8.72%
Doverie Obedinen Holding AD 5DOV + 4.05%

 

Top Losers Ticker Change
Holding Varna AD 5V2 -14.92%
TK - Hold AD T24 -9.05%
Neochim AD 3NB -2.91%

 

* Gainers: Among shares with turnover above BGN thnd 10;
Losers: Among shares with turnover above BGN thnd 4;

Overview

Volume Dwindles in a Choppy Session

Bulgarian share prices rose in early trade on Monday, as most of the European markets were moving higher on a nearly $600-billion Chinese economic stimulus plan announced on Sunday. The blue-chip index SOFIX had climbed 2.39% till 09:58 a.m. The broader BG40 was up 1.48% by that time. Moods however reversed during the session and both indices slipped into negative territory, with SOFIX closing at 465.95, down 0.4%, and BG40 sliding to 142.40, down 0.26%. In general, investors stood away from trading and liquidity remained low.

Some of the real estate funds were among the few actively traded companies today. Top three most actively traded REITs generated 50% of today’s turnover, totaling BGN 1.37 mln. One of the gainers for the day - FairPlay Properties REIT [6F3; +8.72%], was also the most liquid company. More than 401 thousands of its shares changed hands at an average price of BGN 0.671 per share. Advance Terrafund REIT [6A6; +0.00%] also enjoyed investors’ interest but its price remained flat. 181 thousand shares of the land investing fund were exchanged at an average price of BGN 1.10 per share. The average price of the third most actively traded issue - Forucom REIT – Haskovo [6F4; +0.00%], also remained unchanged at BGN 1.147, with 101 thousand shares exchanged within the session.

Corporate news

Fitch Downgrades Five Bulgarian Banks and Petrol

Fitch Ratings has downgraded five Bulgarian banks today following the downgrade of Bulgaria's sovereign ratings. The Outlooks on four of the five banks are now Stable following the rating action.
Allianz Bank Bulgaria AD Long-term IDR was downgraded to 'BBB+' from 'A-' (A minus), with stable outlook. Support rating was downgraded to '2' from '1', short-term foreign currency IDR was affirmed at 'F2' and individual was affirmed at 'D'.
Economic and Investment Bank AD [5EC] Long-term IDR was downgraded to 'BBB+' from 'A-' (A minus) with stable outlook. Support rating was downgraded to '2' from '1', short-term foreign currency IDR was affirmed at 'F2' and iIndividual was affirmed at 'D'.
Eurobank EFG Bulgaria AD Long-term IDR was downgraded to 'BBB+' from 'A-' (A minus) with stable outlook. Support rating was downgraded to '2' from '1', short-term foreign currency IDR was affirmed at 'F2' and Individual affirmed at 'C/D'.
Societe Generale Expressbank AD Long-term IDR was downgraded to 'BBB+' from 'A-' (A minus) with stable outlook. Support rating was downgraded to '2' from '1', short-term foreign currency IDR was affirmed at 'F2' and individual was affirmed at 'D'.
UniCredit Bulbank support rating was downgraded to '2' from '1'.

Fitch also downgraded the IDR of fuel retailer Petrol [5PET] and the senior unsecured rating of its EUR 100 mln notes due in 2011 to 'CCC' from 'B-' on concerns about increased financial leverage caused by a sizeable share repurchase, corporate governance, diminished earnings due to an asset disposal of an important part of the petrol station network, and large losses on derivatives transactions.

Economy and Politics

Fitch Downgrades Bulgaria's Ratings

Fitch Ratings has downgraded Bulgaria's Long-term foreign currency Issuer Default rating to 'BBB-' Stable Outlook from 'BBB' Negative Outlook and Longterm local currency IDR was reduced to 'BBB' Stable Outlook from 'BBB+' Negative Outlook. The downgrade reflects the increasing risk of a recession in response to a marked decline in external financing flows, which will necessitate a sharp contraction in domestic demand to rein in the current account deficit, the agency said. However, given the strong sovereign balance sheet - large fiscal reserves mean that government net financial liabilities are virtually zero - and the broad-based commitment to the currency board arrangement (CBA), Fitch believes the risk of recession broadening into a deeper economic and financial crisis over the medium-term is limited and consistent with a Stable Outlook. Fitch Ratings has also downgraded the sovereign ratings of Kazakhstan and Romania. Emerging Europe is the most vulnerable Emerging market region to the deterioration in the global financial and economic environment owing to the presence of large current account deficits and relatively high levels of short-term external debt, the agency added.

Unemployment Down to 6.42%

The average monthly unemployment rate fell to 6.42% for the nine months ending September 30, Ministry of Labour and Social Policy said on Monday. The average monthly unemployment rate was 8.08% in the same period of 2007.

Upcoming Events

Euroins [5IC]

12.11.2008: Last day for purchase of shares giving voting rights an the General Meetings of Shareholders scheduled for November 28, at 10:00 a.m. in Sofia.

BG40 Stocks (table)

*****

To view the original document, please click on the link below:

http://reports.aiidatapro.com/BBB/Karoll/Newsletter_Daily_2008.11.10.pdf

*****

Copyright: 2006 Karoll AD. All rights reserved. For further Information please contact Karoll, 57 Hristo Botev Str, 1303 Sofia, Bulgaria |Tel. +359 2 981 13 81, fax: +359 2 986 34 66, e-mail: research@karoll.net, web site: http://www.karoll.net

*****

AII Data Processing does not endorse in any way, the views, opinions or recommendations expressed above. The use of the Information is subject to the terms and conditions as published by the original source, which you have to read and accept in full prior to the execution of any actions taken in reliance on Information contained herein.

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